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Mox opal is the real deal… but was not designed for standard. It’s a legacy/vintage card where it is completely awesome. Vintage staples tend to garner a high value and retain it for a long time because the Vintage crowd typically has money and has less cards to buy from each set. Mox Opal is pretty bad in standard, but playing 3-4 Mox Opal is fine in Vintage and even legacy because you will be able to shuffle away the extra’s you draw.
Sounds to me that you have had a little luck with the set and are judging strictly based on limited experience. This set is not very deep for constructed but is obviously setting up for the full block where all a sudden many many of the cards become relevant in constructed. I think we are in for a really awesome standard in 6 months, but currently Standard will be kinda un-exciting.
Overall you were pretty spot on in my opinion but Mox Opal will retain value. Cards that won’t retain value – all the Planeswalkers. Koth will suffer the smallest hit, which Elspeth will take the biggest dive in my opinion. Why? If I want tokens there are better methods. If I want a board sweep, there are better options. Venser is amazing to the casual and EDH crowd so I expect him to retain value just for that reason. Elspeth isn’t spectacular in those formats. Hell I don’t even think she cuts the mustard for Cube.
standard drives prices aside from the supply… mox opal will dip low because of the poor representation in standard…. but make a small rebound because of its great eternal playability